The USD is what I’d call the stress barometer of the Auburn The Big Dance Shirt, and a breakout to the upside is indicative of the stress in the system. Note that this makes sense because when the Fed tapers from bond buying, they are essentially strengthening the dollar. The S&P 500 index is trading at all-time highs because the large and mega-cap names are holding it up, but there is a lot of subsequent carnage (and increasingly so), which is a classic sign we’ve topped off in the market. The M2 money supply peaked in February of 2021, which coincided with the top in the most speculative parts of the market, including SPACs and Cathie Wood’s ARKK. Well, the truth is, the companies whose stocks have overrun have gotten so large in market cap that it’d take them years for them to grow into their respective valuations, so either these companies grow at a much faster pace, which is unlikely, to “catch up” to their stock prices, or their stock prices will have to come down to Earth
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Keep tabs on all of The Selection Committee’s first four out March Madness shirt orders. It’s important to be aware of all the possible delays your orders are facing so that you can keep your customers updated. If factors change and delays increase on a given order be certain to quickly share this information with your customer. Consider sending update emails to customers that have active orders during the holiday. You know that they’re thinking about it and if they don’t hear from you they’re likely to contact you. So be proactive and send out frequent alerts. They don’t have to be long. Just a quick blurb stating the current status of the order and how much longer delivery is likely to take. More than anything customers want to know that you understand why they might be upset and that you’re doing the best you can to keep them alerted to the status of their order. This small gesture will go a long way.
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